Tuesday, February 10, 2004
Fun facts from the exit polls
Tennessee (2489 respondents)
Clark and Sharpton are the only candidates whose support jumps significantly among non-whites -- but Sharpton's support drops off sharply among women, while Clark's stays about the same. 51% of old folks support Kerry, compared to 40% overall. Edwards' support is weakest among voters with the lowest incomes. Republican voters narrowly prefer Clark to Edwards. Among Independents, it's a tie between Kerry and Edwards. Sharpton does better with voters who describe themselves as 'very conservative' than with voters who describe themselves as 'very liberal.' Once again, Kerry wins the atheist vote. The exit pole has a category for 'vote by religion and race' but the only race it includes is 'white.' Among voters who are 'satisfied' or 'enthusiastic' about the Bush Administration, Edwards beats Kerry. 1% of respondents characterized the national economy as 'excellent.'
Virginia (1679 respondents)
Edwards dominates the Republican vote with 48% -- Clark, Kerry, and Dean tie at 13%. Though he runs strong among Independents, Edwards still loses to Kerry there by nine points. Among self-identified conservatives, Kerry and Edwards tie at 38%. No report on atheists, but Kerry wins hands down among those who don't attend church. Edwards is the preferred Democratic candidate among those who are 'satisfied' or 'enthusiastic' about the Bush Administration, as well as among those who 'strongly approve' of the Iraq War. About as many voters think Edwards is 'likely' or 'very likely' to beat Bush as think Kerry is 'very likely' to.